Research Database
Displaying 161 - 180 of 291
Spatiotemporal dynamics of fine dead surface fuel moisture content in a Colorado mixed-conifer forest
Year: 2025
BackgroundDead fine fuel moisture content (FMC) is critical for predicting fire behavior and effects. Spatiotemporal variation in FMC occurs due to to variability in atmospheric conditions at the fuel interface, which is influenced by interacting factors including local forest structure and topography. Previous research has primarily examined these patterns over coarse spatial scales and relied on few factors to explain variability.AimsIn this study, we monitored the spatiotemporal variability in FMC and characterized how controls of FMC vary over a fire…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Active-fire landscapes demonstrate structural resistance to subsequent fire and drought
Year: 2025
A key tenet of contemporary management in dry, fire-adapted forests of western North America is the reintroduction of a frequent and low- to moderate-severity fire regime. Where this fire regime has been fully or partially restored, it is critical to evaluate the degree to which these landscapes demonstrate forest structural resistance (i.e., the capacity to retain intrinsic structures through time) under novel climates and disturbances. In this study, we used overlapping airborne lidar datasets spanning active-fire landscapes in the Sierra Nevada, California, to evaluate how tree densities,…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Decreasing landscape carbon storage in western US forests with 2 °C of warming
Year: 2025
Changing climate is altering the amount of carbon that can be sustained in forest ecosystems. Increasing heat and drought is already causing increased mortality and decreased regeneration in some locations. These changes have implications for landscape carbon storage with ongoing climate change. We used a climate analogs approach to project aboveground forest carbon density under +2 °C warming above pre-industrial climate for western US forests. We calculated analogs for current climate and under +2 °C warming and associated carbon density for each time period. We found that in most…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Multiple Fire Index Examination of Future Climate Change Affecting Wildfire Seasonality and Extremes in the Contiguous United States
Year: 2025
Climate change is impacting wildfires in the contiguous United States; thus, projections of fire danger under climate change have the potential to inform responses to changing wildfire risks. We calculate fire indices for 13 dynamically downscaled regional climate models, then count days exceeding relevant fire danger thresholds, and compare future changes for mid- and late-twenty-first century relative to a historical reference period. We then compare the responses of the fire indices to highlight areas of agreement and disagreement on the sign and magnitude of future change in fire danger…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Carbon costs of different pathways for reducing fire hazard in the Sierra Nevada
Year: 2025
Restoring a low-intensity, frequent-fire regime in fire-prone forests offers a promising natural climate solution. Management interventions that include prescribed fire and/or mechanical treatments have effectively reduced fire hazards in the Western United States, yet concerns remain regarding their impact on forest carbon storage. This study used results from a long-term, replicated field experiment to assess the impacts of a restored disturbance regime on carbon dynamics in a Sierra Nevada, mixed conifer forest. The carbon consequences of the treatments were compared to a dynamic baseline…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Power and planning: a critical discourse analysis of tribal and non-tribal Oregon wildfire protection plans
Year: 2025
BackgroundSince the late 1800s, the US government has largely removed Indigenous fire stewardship practices from the landscape by implementing a top-down fire suppression system that criminalized traditional fire practices and denaturalized the role of fire in forested environments. A century of routine fire suppression produced dense, homogenous forests capable of sustaining high-intensity wildfire that exceeds the suppression capabilities of land management organizations in many regions, spurring federal leaders to modify management approaches. As part of this change,…
Publication Type: Journal Article
When the wilderness burns: an analysis of current fire management and the case for prescribed fire in designated wilderness in the United States
Year: 2025
BackgroundUnited States wilderness areas face increasing challenges from altered fire regimes and climate change, and land managers face ever more complex decisions about fire use. While federal policies permit various fire management strategies in wilderness, including prescribed fire, managers predominantly rely on suppression despite broad support to restore and sustain fire's natural role in these landscapes. Consequently, wilderness fire regimes continue to diverge from historical norms. To better understand wilderness fire management, we used surveys and interviews with…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Following megafires fishes thrive and amphibians persist even in severely burned watersheds
Year: 2025
Wildfires are increasing in severity, frequency and size, potentially threatening freshwater species that adapted under different disturbance regimes. However, few wildfire studies have comprehensively evaluated freshwater populations and assemblages following wildfire over broad spatial scales while accounting for post-fire salvage practices in the watershed. We reveal that stream vertebrate assemblages across thirty 4th order streams, spanning a range of both watershed fire severity and post-fire forest management extent, were minimally influenced by immediate effects of fire alone (…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Pre-fire structure drives variability in post-fire aboveground carbon and fuel profiles in wet temperate forests
Year: 2025
Biological legacies (i.e., materials that persist following disturbance; “legacies”) shape ecosystem functioning and feedbacks to future disturbances, yet how legacies are driven by pre-disturbance ecosystem state and disturbance severity is poorly understood—especially in ecosystems influenced by infrequent and severe disturbances. Focusing on wet temperate forests as an archetype of these ecosystems, we characterized live and dead aboveground biomass 2–5 years post-fire in western Washington and northwestern Oregon, USA, to ask: How do pre-fire stand age (i.e., pre-disturbance ecosystem…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Containment lines, PODs and suppression success: a case study of the 2021 Schneider Springs Fire
Year: 2025
BackgroundWildfire suppression is shaped by a complex interplay of environmental conditions, resource allocation and management strategies.AimsExamining the containment of the 2021 Schneider Springs Fire in the Eastern Cascades of Washington State, USA, we emphasise critical roles of variable selection, representative sampling and suppression-specific factors.MethodsUsing descriptive, predictive and causal models, we assessed the influence of weather conditions, terrain features, personnel availability, tree canopy cover, fire containment…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Postfire recovery trajectories of bulldozed versus burned chaparral eight years postfire
Year: 2025
BackgroundWe examined vegetation diversity, structure, and composition on and off fuel breaks established during a 2013 wildfire in California chaparral shrublands. Vegetation was sampled 8 years following the fire to identify any persistent changes in structure or composition caused by this fire management activity, with implications for postfire vegetation recovery.ResultsWhile species diversity and cover of lifeforms did not differ on and off fuel breaks, species composition and regeneration strategy of dominant shrubs differed significantly. Sites in fuel…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Topographic Variation in Structure of Mixed-Conifer Forests Under an Active-Fire Regime
Year: 2012
Management efforts to promote forest resiliency as climate changes have often used historical forest structure and composition to provide general guidance for fuels reduction and forest restoration treatments. However, it has been difficult to identify what stand conditions might be fire and drought resilient because historical data and reconstruction studies are generally limited to accurate estimates only of large, live tree density and composition. Other stand features such as smaller tree densities, dead wood, understory structure, regeneration, and fuel loads have been difficult to…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Development of Risk Matrices for Evaluating Climatic Change Responses of Forested Habitats
Year: 2012
We present an approach to assess and compare risk from climate change among multiple species through a risk matrix, in which managers can quickly prioritize for species that need to have strategies developed, evaluated further, or watched. We base the matrix upon earlier work towards the National Climate Assessment for potential damage to infrastructures from climate change. Risk is defined here as the product of the likelihood of an event occurring and the consequences or impact of that event. In the context of species habitats, the likelihood component is related to the potential changes in…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Climatic, Landform, Microtopographic, and Overstory Canopy Controls of Tree Invasion in a Subalpine Meadow Landscape, Oregon Cascades, USA
Year: 2012
Tree invasions have been documented throughout Northern Hemisphere high elevation meadows, as well as globally in many grass and forb-dominated ecosystems. Tree invasions are often associated with large-scale changes in climate or disturbance regimes, but are fundamentally driven by regeneration processes influenced by interactions between climatic, topographic, and biotic factors at multiple spatial scales. The purpose of this research was to quantify spatiotemporal patterns of meadow invasion; and how climate, larger landforms, topography, and overstory trees have interactively influenced…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Impact of postfire logging on soil bacterial and fungal communities on biogeochemistry in a mixed-conifer forest in central Oregon
Year: 2012
Aims Postfire logging recoups the economic value of timber killed by wildfire, but whether such forest management activity supports or impedes forest recovery in stands differing in structure from historic conditions remains unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of mechanical logging after wildfire on soil bacterial and fungal communities and other measures influencing soil productivity. Methods We compared soil bacterial and fungal communities and biogeochemical responses of 1) soils compacted, and 2) soils compacted and then subsoiled, to 3) soils receiving no…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Surface fuel treatments in young, regenerating stands affect wildfire severity in a mixed conifer forest, eastside Cascade Range, Washington, USA
Year: 2012
Previous studies have debated the flammability of young regenerating stands, especially those in a matrix of mature forest, and no consensus has emerged as to whether young stands are inherently prone to high severity wildfire. This topic has recently been addressed using spatial imagery, and weak inferences were made given the scale mismatch between the coarse resolution of spatial imagery and the fine resolution of mechanisms driving fire severity. We collected empirical stand and fire-severity data from 44 regenerating stands that are interspersed in mature, mid-elevation forests in the…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Spatio-temporal prediction of site index based on forest inventories and climate change scenarios
Year: 2012
A methodological framework is provided for the quantification of climate change effects on site index. Spatio-temporal predictions of site index are derived for six major tree species in the German state of Baden-Württemberg using simplified universal kriging (UK) based on large data sets from forest inventories and a climate sensitive site-index model. It is shown by a simulation study that, with the underlying large sample size, residual kriging using ordinary least squares (OLS) estimates of the mean function leads to an approximately unbiased spatial predictor. Moreover, the simulated…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Delayed Phenology and Reduced Fitness Associated with Climate Change in a Wild Hibernator
Year: 2012
The most commonly reported ecological effects of climate change are shifts in phenologies, in particular of warmer spring temperatures leading to earlier timing of key events. Among animals, however, these reports have been heavily biased towards avian phenologies, whereas we still know comparatively little about other seasonal adaptations, such as mammalian hibernation. Here we show a significant delay (0.47 days per year, over a 20-year period) in the hibernation emergence date of adult females in a wild population of Columbian ground squirrels in Alberta, Canada. This finding was related…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Afternoon Rain More Likely Over Drier Soils
Year: 2012
Land surface properties, such as vegetation cover and soil moisture, influence the partitioning of radiative energy between latent and sensible heat fluxes in daytime hours. During dry periods, soil-water deficit can limit evapotranspiration, leading to warmer and drier conditions in the lower atmosphere. Soil moisture can influence the development of convective storms through such modifications of low-level atmospheric temperature and humidity, which in turn feeds back on soil moisture. Yet there is considerable uncertainty in how soil moisture affects convective storms across the world,…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Fluvial Response to Abrupt Global Warming at the Palaeocene/Eocene Boundary
Year: 2012
Climate strongly affects the production of sediment from mountain catchments as well as its transport and deposition within adjacent sedimentary basins. However, identifying climatic influences on basin stratigraphy is complicated by nonlinearities, feedback loops, lag times, buffering and convergence among processes within the sediment routeing system. The Palaeocene/Eocene thermal maximum (PETM) arguably represents the most abrupt and dramatic instance of global warming in the Cenozoic era and has been proposed to be a geologic analogue for anthropogenic climate change. Here we evaluate the…
Publication Type: Journal Article