Research Database

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Projections of Lightning-Ignited Wildfire Risk in the Western United States

Year: 2025

Cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning is a major source of summer wildfire ignition in the western United States (WUS). However, future projections of lightning are uncertain since lightning is not directly simulated by most global climate models. To address this issue, we use convolutional neural network (CNN)-based parameterizations of daily June-September CG lightning. CNN parameterizations of daily CG lightning occurrence at each grid cell use fields of three thermodynamic variables—ratio of surface Moist Static Energy (MSE) to 500 hPa saturation MSE, 700–500 hPa lapse rate, and 500…

Climate Change and Fire, Fire Effects and Fire Ecology

ignitions, lightning

Publication Type: Journal Article

Finding floral and faunal species richness optima among active fire regimes

Year: 2025

Changing fire regimes have important implications for biodiversity and challenge traditional conservation approaches that rely on historical conditions as proxies for ecological integrity. This historical-centric approach becomes increasingly tenuous under climate change, necessitating direct tests of environmental impacts on biodiversity. At the same time, widespread departures from historical fire regimes have limited the ability to sample diverse fire histories. We examined 2 areas in California's Sierra Nevada (USA) with active fire regimes to study the responses of bird, plant, and bat…

Fire History, Fish and Wildlife Habitat

fire regimes, biodiversity, fire severity, wildlife

Publication Type: Journal Article

Showy dragonflies are being driven extinct by warming and wildfire

Year: 2025

Rising temperatures may disrupt reproduction before becoming lethal; thus mating traits could define species vulnerability to warming. Here, using >1,600 estimates of local extinction for 60 dragonfly species, we show that species with mating-associated wing ornamentation experienced more extinctions and lost more habitat under warming and following wildfire burn than non-ornamented species. By contrast, sensitivity was not affected by ecological traits, such as thermal limits, habitat specialization or body size.

Fire Effects and Fire Ecology, Fish and Wildlife Habitat

habitat, biodiversity

Publication Type: Journal Article