Research Database
Displaying 1 - 5 of 5
Anthropogenic climate change contributes to wildfire particulate matter and related mortality in the United States
Year: 2025
Climate change has increased forest fire extent in temperate and boreal North America. Here, we quantified the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to human mortality and economic burden from exposure to wildfire particulate matter at the county and state level across the contiguous US (2006 to 2020) by integrating climate projections, climate-wildfire models, wildfire smoke models, and emission and health impact modeling. Climate change contributed to approximately 15,000 wildfire particulate matter deaths over 15 years with interannual variability ranging from 130 (95% confidence…
Climate Change and Fire, Economic Impacts of Fire, Smoke and Air Quality, Social and Community Impacts of Fire
Publication Type: Journal Article
Pre-fire structure drives variability in post-fire aboveground carbon and fuel profiles in wet temperate forests
Year: 2025
Biological legacies (i.e., materials that persist following disturbance; “legacies”) shape ecosystem functioning and feedbacks to future disturbances, yet how legacies are driven by pre-disturbance ecosystem state and disturbance severity is poorly understood—especially in ecosystems influenced by infrequent and severe disturbances. Focusing on wet temperate forests as an archetype of these ecosystems, we characterized live and dead aboveground biomass 2–5 years post-fire in western Washington and northwestern Oregon, USA, to ask: How do pre-fire stand age (i.e., pre-disturbance ecosystem…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Following megafires fishes thrive and amphibians persist even in severely burned watersheds
Year: 2025
Wildfires are increasing in severity, frequency and size, potentially threatening freshwater species that adapted under different disturbance regimes. However, few wildfire studies have comprehensively evaluated freshwater populations and assemblages following wildfire over broad spatial scales while accounting for post-fire salvage practices in the watershed. We reveal that stream vertebrate assemblages across thirty 4th order streams, spanning a range of both watershed fire severity and post-fire forest management extent, were minimally influenced by immediate effects of fire alone (…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Changing climate may drive large shifts in vegetation zones of Oregon, USA
Year: 2025
Anticipating plausible future ecosystem states is necessary for effective ecosystem management. We use climate analog-based impact models and a co-production process with land managers to project future vegetation changes for the state of Oregon, United States, (2041–2070, RCP 8.5) at a management-relevant spatial resolution (270-m). We explore multiple analog-based methodologies, evaluate analog model performance with contemporary validation, and leverage climate analogs to assess projection uncertainty by quantifying areas where multiple vegetation trajectories are plausible under a single…
Publication Type: Journal Article
Snow dynamics and forest structure interact to increase wildfire burn severity in the boreal forest
Year: 2025
Climate change in boreal regions is leading to warmer, drier conditions which amplify wildfire activity by altering fuel moisture, weather conditions, as well as the timing and duration of snow cover. Reduced snowpack and earlier snowmelt can lower fuel moisture, extend wildfire seasons, and increase burn severity. However, the effects of snow cover on burn severity under different environmental conditions remain uncertain. We examined how forest structure and snow cover dynamics affect burn severity using structural equation models and remotely sensed burn severity data from 689 wildfires in…
Publication Type: Journal Article