At 428 PM PDT /528 PM MDT/, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms
producing heavy rain over the Cow Valley and Durkee Burn Scar.
Between 0.5 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall
rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or
expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
flash flooding in and around the Cow Valley and Durkee
Burn Scar.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
the Cow Valley and Durkee Burn Scar.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Brogan, Rye Valley, Malheur Reservoir, Malheur City, Jamieson, Cow
Valley, Weatherby, Durkee, Dixie, and Lime.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Satellite and radar imagery currently show shower activity
across central Oregon. Lightning strikes across the warned areas
have thus far been limited, but weather models do continue to
show a potential for thunderstorm activity for the warned areas,
particularly across the eastern mountains of Oregon, with a
potential flare-up in storm activity occurring Thursday
afternoon. While wet storms are still in the forecast, fuels are
receptive enough to warrant a Red Flag Warning, with lightning
strikes still leading to new fire starts even under a wetting
rain.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 644 Central Blue Mountains
and 645 Wallowa District.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 40 mph.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Satellite and radar imagery currently show shower activity
across central Oregon. Lightning strikes across the warned areas
have thus far been limited, but weather models do continue to
show a potential for thunderstorm activity for the warned areas,
particularly across the eastern mountains of Oregon, with a
potential flare-up in storm activity occurring Thursday
afternoon. While wet storms are still in the forecast, fuels are
receptive enough to warrant a Red Flag Warning, with lightning
strikes still leading to new fire starts even under a wetting
rain.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 611 Deschutes National
Forest -minus Sisters Ranger District, 640 Central Mountains
of Oregon and 642 Southern Blue and Strawberry Mountains.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 40 mph.
At 212 PM PDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lehman Hot Springs, or 28 miles southwest of Meacham, moving
northwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lehman Hot Springs.
...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.Isolated to scattered thunderstorms could develop and will move
northeastward this evening across northern Klamath and Lake
Counties. Strong southerly flow ahead of a low returns this
weekend and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday
because of gusty winds and low RH. Some strong storms may also
develop along and west of the Cascades.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND AND LOW RH FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 625...
The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Fire Weather
Watch, which is in effect from Saturday afternoon through
Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels will increase the
risk of new fire starts. Additionally, gusty outflow winds
will allow for new and existing fires to grow rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...For the Red Flag Warning, most of Oregon Fire
Zone 625 north of Highway 140. This includes the Warner Peak
Fire, though the greatest coverage of storms is likely to be
north and west of the Warner Peak Fire. For the Fire Weather
Watch, eastern portions of Oregon Fire Zone 625, including Adel
and the Warner Peak Fire.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Another round of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected this evening, with the greatest
coverage expected north of a line from Chiloquin to Paisley.
.Low pressure will move into the region late this afternoon and
overnight, providing sufficient trigger for thunderstorm
initiation. Isolated storms will initially start out over
portions of northern California late this afternoon, then move
northeastward and continue into the overnight hours. After a
relative lull early Thursday morning, another round of isolated
to scattered thunderstorms is expected across northern Klamath
and Lake Counties Thursday afternoon. Despite rain with these
thunderstorms, lightning strikes outside of precipitation cores
are possible and cause for concern.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Quickly shifting winds with outflow gusts up
to 40 to 50 mph. These outflow winds can travel up to 50
miles away from the thunderstorm that caused it.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.Isolated to scattered thunderstorms could develop and will move
northeastward this evening across northern Klamath and Lake
Counties. Strong southerly flow ahead of a low returns this
weekend and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday
because of gusty winds and low RH. Some strong storms may also
develop along and west of the Cascades.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND AND LOW RH FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 625...
The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Fire Weather
Watch, which is in effect from Saturday afternoon through
Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels will increase the
risk of new fire starts. Additionally, gusty outflow winds
will allow for new and existing fires to grow rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...For the Red Flag Warning, most of Oregon Fire
Zone 625 north of Highway 140. This includes the Warner Peak
Fire, though the greatest coverage of storms is likely to be
north and west of the Warner Peak Fire. For the Fire Weather
Watch, eastern portions of Oregon Fire Zone 625, including Adel
and the Warner Peak Fire.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Another round of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected this evening, with the greatest
coverage expected north of a line from Chiloquin to Paisley.
.Low pressure will move into the region late this afternoon and
overnight, providing sufficient trigger for thunderstorm
initiation. Isolated storms will initially start out over
portions of northern California late this afternoon, then move
northeastward and continue into the overnight hours. After a
relative lull early Thursday morning, another round of isolated
to scattered thunderstorms is expected across northern Klamath
and Lake Counties Thursday afternoon. Despite rain with these
thunderstorms, lightning strikes outside of precipitation cores
are possible and cause for concern.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Quickly shifting winds with outflow gusts up
to 40 to 50 mph. These outflow winds can travel up to 50
miles away from the thunderstorm that caused it.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.Isolated to scattered thunderstorms could develop and will move
northeastward this evening across northern Klamath and Lake
Counties. Strong southerly flow ahead of a low returns this
weekend and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday
because of gusty winds and low RH. Some strong storms may also
develop along and west of the Cascades.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels will increase the
risk of new fire starts. Additionally, gusty outflow winds
will allow for new and existing fires to grow rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...Most of Oregon Fire Zone 624 north of Highway
140.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Another round of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected this evening, with the greatest
coverage expected north of a line from Chiloquin to Paisley.
Despite rain with these thunderstorms, lightning strikes outside
of precipitation cores are possible and cause for concern.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Quickly shifting winds with outflow gusts up
to 40 to 50 mph. These outflow winds can travel up to 50
miles away from the thunderstorm that caused it.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
* WHAT...Flash flooding and debris flows caused by excessive
rainfall are possible over the 2024 burn areas associated with
active wildfires.
* WHERE...Portions of Oregon, including the following areas,
Cascades of Lane County, Cascades of Marion and Linn Counties and
North Oregon Cascades and southwest Washington, including the
following area, South Washington Cascades.
* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night.
* IMPACTS...Heavy rainfall over the 2024 burn areas is expected
Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night. People near the
2024 burn areas should prepare for potential flooding impacts. Be
sure to stay up to date with information from local authorities.
Heavy rainfall could trigger flash flooding or debris flows near
active 2024 wildfires.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- National Weather Service Meteorologists are forecasting heavy
rainfall over 2024 burn areas associated with active
wildfires, which may lead to flash flooding and debris flows.
Hourly rainfall rates up to 0.75 inches per hour will be
possible.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THIS EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
OR646, ID402, AND ID403...
...HOT, DRY, WINDY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
ID423, AND ID426...
...HIGH HAINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO ZONES 401,
402, 403, AND 421...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 636 AND 637...
The National Weather Service in Boise has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidities, which is in
effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening.
* Affected Area...In Oregon, Fire Weather Zones 636 Burns BLM
and 637 Vale BLM.
.For the Red Flag Warning...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 50 mph possible.
.For the Fire Weather Watch...
* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.
* Temperatures...Up to 92.
* Timing...For the Red Flag Warning, until 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/
this evening. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Saturday
afternoon through Saturday evening.
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THIS EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
OR646, ID402, AND ID403...
...HOT, DRY, WINDY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
ID423, AND ID426...
...HIGH HAINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO ZONES 401,
402, 403, AND 421...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 636 AND 637...
The National Weather Service in Boise has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidities, which is in
effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening.
* Affected Area...In Oregon, Fire Weather Zones 636 Burns BLM
and 637 Vale BLM.
.For the Red Flag Warning...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 50 mph possible.
.For the Fire Weather Watch...
* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.
* Temperatures...Up to 92.
* Timing...For the Red Flag Warning, until 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/
this evening. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Saturday
afternoon through Saturday evening.
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THIS EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
OR646, ID402, AND ID403...
...HOT, DRY, WINDY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
ID423, AND ID426...
...HIGH HAINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO ZONES 401,
402, 403, AND 421...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 45 mph possible.
* Timing...Until 9 PM PDT this evening.
* WHAT...High concentration of smoke particulates from wildfire
smoke.
* WHERE...Harney County.
* WHEN...UNTIL NOON PDT FRIDAY.
* IMPACTS...Smoke can irritate the eyes, lungs and worsen some
medical conditions. People most at risk to adverse health effects
include infants, young children, people with heart or lung
disease, older adults, and pregnant women.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Smoke levels can change rapidly depending on
weather. Check current conditions on the Oregon Smoke Information
Blog, DEQ's Air Quality Index, or by downloading the free
OregonAIR app on your smartphone.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels will increase the
risk of new fire starts. Additionally, gusty outflow winds
will allow for new and existing fires to grow rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...Most of Oregon Fire Zones 624 and 625 north
of Highway 140. This includes the Warner Peak Fire, though
the greatest coverage of storms is likely to be north and
west of the Warner Peak Fire.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Another round of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected this afternoon and evening, with the
greatest coverage expected north of a line from Chiloquin to
Paisley. Despite rain with these thunderstorms, lightning
strikes outside of precipitation cores are possible and cause
for concern.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Quickly shifting winds with outflow gusts up
to 40 to 50 mph. These outflow winds can travel up to 50
miles away from the thunderstorm that caused it.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING IN OREGON FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 636, 637, 646...
SCATTERED LIGHTNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 402 AND 403...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 45 mph possible.
* Timing...Until 9 PM PDT this evening.
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING IN OREGON FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 636, 637, 646...
SCATTERED LIGHTNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 402 AND 403...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 50 mph possible.
* Timing...Until 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/ this evening.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Satellite and radar imagery currently show shower activity across
central Oregon. Lightning strikes across the warned areas have
thus far been limited, but weather models do continue to show a
potential for thunderstorm activity for the warned areas,
particularly across the eastern mountains of Oregon, with a
potential flare-up in storm activity occurring Thursday
afternoon. While wet storms are still in the forecast, fuels are
receptive enough to warrant a Red Flag Warning, with lightning
strikes still leading to new fire starts even under a wetting
rain.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 644 Central Blue Mountains
and 645 Wallowa District.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 40 mph.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Satellite and radar imagery currently show shower activity across
central Oregon. Lightning strikes across the warned areas have
thus far been limited, but weather models do continue to show a
potential for thunderstorm activity for the warned areas,
particularly across the eastern mountains of Oregon, with a
potential flare-up in storm activity occurring Thursday
afternoon. While wet storms are still in the forecast, fuels are
receptive enough to warrant a Red Flag Warning, with lightning
strikes still leading to new fire starts even under a wetting
rain.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 611 Deschutes National
Forest -minus Sisters Ranger District, 640 Central Mountains
of Oregon and 642 Southern Blue and Strawberry Mountains.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 40 mph.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS LATE TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Isolated to widely scattered high-based thunderstorms, capable
of producing abundant lightning, are anticipated to develop or
move into central Oregon late tonight. A low chance of wetting
rains (less than 50 percent) is associated with these storms. A
lull in thunderstorm potential then exists during the early to
late morning.
Another round of thunderstorms with greater coverage is then
forecast Thursday afternoon and evening stretching from central
OR through the Wallowas. While isolated to widely scattered storms
are more likely than not across central Oregon, scattered to
numerous storms are anticipated over the central Blue mountains
and areas east. More wet than dry storms are anticipated across
eastern Oregon capable of wetting rains (greater than 80%). High-
end amounts approaching or exceeding 1 inch are possible (20-40
percent confidence).
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 644 Central Blue Mountains
and 645 Wallowa District.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 45 mph.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS LATE TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Isolated to widely scattered high-based thunderstorms, capable
of producing abundant lightning, are anticipated to develop or
move into central Oregon late tonight. A low chance of wetting
rains (less than 50 percent) is associated with these storms. A
lull in thunderstorm potential then exists during the early to
late morning.
Another round of thunderstorms with greater coverage is then
forecast Thursday afternoon and evening stretching from central
OR through the Wallowas. While isolated to widely scattered storms
are more likely than not across central Oregon, scattered to
numerous storms are anticipated over the central Blue mountains
and areas east. More wet than dry storms are anticipated across
eastern Oregon capable of wetting rains (greater than 80%). High-
end amounts approaching or exceeding 1 inch are possible (20-40
percent confidence).
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 611 Deschutes National
Forest -minus Sisters Ranger District, 640 Central Mountains
of Oregon and 642 Southern Blue and Strawberry Mountains.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 45 mph.
At 810 PM PDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Antler Campground And Trailhead, or 47 miles east of Crater Lake,
moving north at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Antler Campground And Trailhead, Silver Creek Marsh Campground, and
Thompson Reservoir Campground.