The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM to 9 PM PDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels could lead to numerous
new fire starts. Gusty, shifting outflow winds could also result
in changing fire behavior and spread. These winds could also
present a danger to aircraft and ground personnel.
* AFFECTED AREA...In California...Fire weather zones 280 and 281.
In Oregon...Fire weather zones 616, 617, 620, 621, 622 and 623.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected
to develop Saturday afternoon and move from south to north
through the area into Saturday evening. These storms will
contain frequent and abundant cloud to ground lightning. Some of
the stronger thunderstorms may contain strong to severe wind
gusts and hail. Rainfall is expected with these storms and could
be heavy at times.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusts up to 60 mph.
* HAIL POTENTIAL...5 to 15 percent chance of one half to 1 inch
diameter hail.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
The National Weather Service in Medford has upgraded the Fire
Weather Watch to a Red Flag Warning, which is in effect from 2 PM
to 8 PM PDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Strong winds combined with critically low relative
humidity can lead to the rapid growth and spread of new and
existing fires.
* AFFECTED AREA...In Oregon, the southeastern corner of Fire
Weather Zone 624, including Lakeview. Much of Fire Weather Zone
625 south of Summer Lake and the Christmas Valley. This includes
the Warner Peak Fire, Adel, Paisley and the Hart Mountain
Refuge. In California, the eastern half of Fire Weather Zone
285, including Alturas.
* WIND...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts 35 to 50 mph.
* HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
Oregon Department of Environmental Quality has issued an Air Quality
Advisory...IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT MONDAY.
A Smoke Air Quality Advisory has been issued. Wildfires burning in
the region combined with forecasted conditions will cause air
quality to reach unhealthy levels.
Pollutants in smoke can cause burning eyes...runny nose...aggravate
heart and lung diseases...and aggravate other serious health
problems. Limit outdoor activities and keep children indoors if it
is smoky. Please follow medical advice if you have a heart or lung
condition.
For additional information...please visit the Web site at
http://www.oregon.gov/DEQ
...HOT, DRY, WINDY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN OR636,
OR637, ID423, AND ID426...
...HIGH HAINES AND HOT, DRY, WINDY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING
IN IDAHO ZONES 401, 402, 403, AND 421...
* Affected Area...In Idaho, Fire Weather Zones 423 Owyhee
Mountains and 426 Southern Highlands. In Oregon, Fire Weather
Zones 636 Burns BLM and 637 Vale BLM.
* Timing...From Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening.
* Winds...South 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.
* Temperatures...Up to 94.
* WHAT...Flash flooding and debris flows caused by excessive
rainfall continue to be possible over the 2024 burn areas
associated with active wildfires.
* WHERE...Portions of Oregon, including the following areas,
Cascades of Lane County, Cascades of Marion and Linn Counties and
North Oregon Cascades and southwest Washington, including the
following area, South Washington Cascades.
* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night.
* IMPACTS...Heavy rainfall is expected over the 2024 burn areas
associated with active wildfires. Residents near these areas
should prepare for potential flooding impacts. Be sure to stay up
to date with information from local authorities. Heavy rainfall
could trigger flash flooding of low-lying areas, and debris flows
in and near recent wildfire burn scars.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- National Weather Service Meteorologists are forecasting heavy
rainfall over 2024 burn areas associated with active
wildfires, which may lead to flash flooding and debris flows.
Hourly rainfall rates up to 0.75 inches per hour will be
possible.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
* IMPACTS...Strong winds combined with critically low relative
humidity can lead to the rapid growth and spread of new and
existing fires.
* AFFECTED AREA...In Oregon, the southeastern corner of Fire
Weather Zone 624, including Lakeview. In California, the eastern
half of Fire Weather Zone 285, including Alturas.
* WIND...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts 35 to 40 mph.
* HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
* IMPACTS...Strong winds combined with critically low relative
humidity can lead to the rapid growth and spread of new and
existing fires.
* AFFECTED AREA...Much of Fire Weather Zone 625 south of Summer
Lake and the Christmas Valley. This includes the Warner Peak
Fire, Adel, Paisley and the Hart Mountain Refuge.
* WIND...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts 30 to 40 mph, and
gusts up to 45 mph on the ridges.
* HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
...HOT, DRY, WINDY, AND POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED
FOR SOUTHEASTERN OREGON ON SATURDAY...
.A robust low pressure system centered off the coast of the
Pacific Northwest will orient the winds aloft more southerly,
pushing in a hot and dry airmass into southern Oregon. Relative
humidities will drop significantly as a result on Saturday. This,
combined with the low pressure system amplifying the wind speeds,
will potentially lead to critical fire weather conditions across
much of southeastern Oregon. Unstable conditions are possible as
well, with values of 5 and locally 6 possible during the day
Saturday.
The National Weather Service in Pendleton has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 642 Southern Blue and
Strawberry Mountains.
* WINDS...South 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds with dry conditions may lead to rapid fire
spread. Unstable conditions may promote extreme fire behavior as
well.
The National Weather Service in Medford has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning. Thunderstorms have not developed today and none are
expected through the remainder of the night.
A Fire Weather Watch continues in effect from Saturday afternoon
through Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...Fire could spread rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...Southeast Lake county including the Warner Peak
Fire, Adel and Hart Mountain Refuge.
* WINDS AND HUMIDITY...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to
45 mph combined with humidity 10 to 15 percent.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
At 428 PM PDT /528 PM MDT/, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms
producing heavy rain over the Cow Valley and Durkee Burn Scar.
Between 0.5 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall
rate is 0.5 to 1 inch in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or
expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
flash flooding in and around the Cow Valley and Durkee
Burn Scar.
SOURCE...Radar.
IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
the Cow Valley and Durkee Burn Scar.
Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Brogan, Rye Valley, Malheur Reservoir, Malheur City, Jamieson, Cow
Valley, Weatherby, Durkee, Dixie, and Lime.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Satellite and radar imagery currently show shower activity
across central Oregon. Lightning strikes across the warned areas
have thus far been limited, but weather models do continue to
show a potential for thunderstorm activity for the warned areas,
particularly across the eastern mountains of Oregon, with a
potential flare-up in storm activity occurring Thursday
afternoon. While wet storms are still in the forecast, fuels are
receptive enough to warrant a Red Flag Warning, with lightning
strikes still leading to new fire starts even under a wetting
rain.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 644 Central Blue Mountains
and 645 Wallowa District.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 40 mph.
...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED STORMS OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY IN OREGON ZONES 611, 640, and 642...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OREGON ZONES 644 and 645...
.Satellite and radar imagery currently show shower activity
across central Oregon. Lightning strikes across the warned areas
have thus far been limited, but weather models do continue to
show a potential for thunderstorm activity for the warned areas,
particularly across the eastern mountains of Oregon, with a
potential flare-up in storm activity occurring Thursday
afternoon. While wet storms are still in the forecast, fuels are
receptive enough to warrant a Red Flag Warning, with lightning
strikes still leading to new fire starts even under a wetting
rain.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 611 Deschutes National
Forest -minus Sisters Ranger District, 640 Central Mountains
of Oregon and 642 Southern Blue and Strawberry Mountains.
* IMPACTS...Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning and erratic, gusty outflow winds.
This combination will promote conditions conducive to new fire
starts and rapid fire spread for new and existing fires.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Abundant lightning with frequent cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Gusty winds up to 40 mph.
At 212 PM PDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lehman Hot Springs, or 28 miles southwest of Meacham, moving
northwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lehman Hot Springs.
...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.Isolated to scattered thunderstorms could develop and will move
northeastward this evening across northern Klamath and Lake
Counties. Strong southerly flow ahead of a low returns this
weekend and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday
because of gusty winds and low RH. Some strong storms may also
develop along and west of the Cascades.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND AND LOW RH FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 625...
The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Fire Weather
Watch, which is in effect from Saturday afternoon through
Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels will increase the
risk of new fire starts. Additionally, gusty outflow winds
will allow for new and existing fires to grow rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...For the Red Flag Warning, most of Oregon Fire
Zone 625 north of Highway 140. This includes the Warner Peak
Fire, though the greatest coverage of storms is likely to be
north and west of the Warner Peak Fire. For the Fire Weather
Watch, eastern portions of Oregon Fire Zone 625, including Adel
and the Warner Peak Fire.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Another round of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected this evening, with the greatest
coverage expected north of a line from Chiloquin to Paisley.
.Low pressure will move into the region late this afternoon and
overnight, providing sufficient trigger for thunderstorm
initiation. Isolated storms will initially start out over
portions of northern California late this afternoon, then move
northeastward and continue into the overnight hours. After a
relative lull early Thursday morning, another round of isolated
to scattered thunderstorms is expected across northern Klamath
and Lake Counties Thursday afternoon. Despite rain with these
thunderstorms, lightning strikes outside of precipitation cores
are possible and cause for concern.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Quickly shifting winds with outflow gusts up
to 40 to 50 mph. These outflow winds can travel up to 50
miles away from the thunderstorm that caused it.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.Isolated to scattered thunderstorms could develop and will move
northeastward this evening across northern Klamath and Lake
Counties. Strong southerly flow ahead of a low returns this
weekend and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday
because of gusty winds and low RH. Some strong storms may also
develop along and west of the Cascades.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WIND AND LOW RH FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 625...
The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Fire Weather
Watch, which is in effect from Saturday afternoon through
Saturday evening.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels will increase the
risk of new fire starts. Additionally, gusty outflow winds
will allow for new and existing fires to grow rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...For the Red Flag Warning, most of Oregon Fire
Zone 625 north of Highway 140. This includes the Warner Peak
Fire, though the greatest coverage of storms is likely to be
north and west of the Warner Peak Fire. For the Fire Weather
Watch, eastern portions of Oregon Fire Zone 625, including Adel
and the Warner Peak Fire.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Another round of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected this evening, with the greatest
coverage expected north of a line from Chiloquin to Paisley.
.Low pressure will move into the region late this afternoon and
overnight, providing sufficient trigger for thunderstorm
initiation. Isolated storms will initially start out over
portions of northern California late this afternoon, then move
northeastward and continue into the overnight hours. After a
relative lull early Thursday morning, another round of isolated
to scattered thunderstorms is expected across northern Klamath
and Lake Counties Thursday afternoon. Despite rain with these
thunderstorms, lightning strikes outside of precipitation cores
are possible and cause for concern.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Quickly shifting winds with outflow gusts up
to 40 to 50 mph. These outflow winds can travel up to 50
miles away from the thunderstorm that caused it.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
.Isolated to scattered thunderstorms could develop and will move
northeastward this evening across northern Klamath and Lake
Counties. Strong southerly flow ahead of a low returns this
weekend and a Fire Weather Watch has been issued for Saturday
because of gusty winds and low RH. Some strong storms may also
develop along and west of the Cascades.
* IMPACTS...Abundant lightning on dry fuels will increase the
risk of new fire starts. Additionally, gusty outflow winds
will allow for new and existing fires to grow rapidly.
* AFFECTED AREA...Most of Oregon Fire Zone 624 north of Highway
140.
* THUNDERSTORMS...Another round of isolated to scattered
thunderstorms is expected this evening, with the greatest
coverage expected north of a line from Chiloquin to Paisley.
Despite rain with these thunderstorms, lightning strikes outside
of precipitation cores are possible and cause for concern.
* OUTFLOW WINDS...Quickly shifting winds with outflow gusts up
to 40 to 50 mph. These outflow winds can travel up to 50
miles away from the thunderstorm that caused it.
* DETAILED URL...View the hazard area in detail at
https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr
* WHAT...Flash flooding and debris flows caused by excessive
rainfall are possible over the 2024 burn areas associated with
active wildfires.
* WHERE...Portions of Oregon, including the following areas,
Cascades of Lane County, Cascades of Marion and Linn Counties and
North Oregon Cascades and southwest Washington, including the
following area, South Washington Cascades.
* WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night.
* IMPACTS...Heavy rainfall over the 2024 burn areas is expected
Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night. People near the
2024 burn areas should prepare for potential flooding impacts. Be
sure to stay up to date with information from local authorities.
Heavy rainfall could trigger flash flooding or debris flows near
active 2024 wildfires.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- National Weather Service Meteorologists are forecasting heavy
rainfall over 2024 burn areas associated with active
wildfires, which may lead to flash flooding and debris flows.
Hourly rainfall rates up to 0.75 inches per hour will be
possible.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THIS EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
OR646, ID402, AND ID403...
...HOT, DRY, WINDY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
ID423, AND ID426...
...HIGH HAINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO ZONES 401,
402, 403, AND 421...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 636 AND 637...
The National Weather Service in Boise has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidities, which is in
effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening.
* Affected Area...In Oregon, Fire Weather Zones 636 Burns BLM
and 637 Vale BLM.
.For the Red Flag Warning...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 50 mph possible.
.For the Fire Weather Watch...
* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.
* Temperatures...Up to 92.
* Timing...For the Red Flag Warning, until 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/
this evening. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Saturday
afternoon through Saturday evening.
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THIS EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
OR646, ID402, AND ID403...
...HOT, DRY, WINDY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
ID423, AND ID426...
...HIGH HAINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO ZONES 401,
402, 403, AND 421...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 636 AND 637...
The National Weather Service in Boise has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidities, which is in
effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening.
* Affected Area...In Oregon, Fire Weather Zones 636 Burns BLM
and 637 Vale BLM.
.For the Red Flag Warning...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 50 mph possible.
.For the Fire Weather Watch...
* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.
* Temperatures...Up to 92.
* Timing...For the Red Flag Warning, until 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/
this evening. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Saturday
afternoon through Saturday evening.
...SCATTERED LIGHTNING THROUGH THIS EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
OR646, ID402, AND ID403...
...HOT, DRY, WINDY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN OR636, OR637,
ID423, AND ID426...
...HIGH HAINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN IDAHO ZONES 401,
402, 403, AND 421...
* Thunderstorms...Scattered
* Outflow Winds...Gusts up to 45 mph possible.
* Timing...Until 9 PM PDT this evening.